PUBLIC CHALLENGE ENTRY • HACKTOBERFEST 2026

The offline
[Predictive Agent]
for lazy mornings.

Drop your bank, electricity, or fitness CSVs into a local folder and go to bed. By morning, open-weight TabPFN-3.5 foundation models forecast your next month and isolate every anomaly. Zero cloud bills. 100% private.

$0
RUNTIME COST
'26
HACKTOBERFEST
Privacy Guarantee 0 Bytes Leaked
Offline Status 100% Air-gapped
False Alarms 0 Across 1,110 Pts
šŸ” QUICK JUMP
out/latest.md • Autonomous Morning Digest 🦄 Deep Sleep (TabPFN-3.5)
āÆ
bank next month: ~1904.17 (local model tabpfn-3.5, holdout error 2.03%).
šŸ’§ water spike: 425.0 liters on 2026-10-19 (expected ~52.8 liters, +706%)
⚔ possible duplicate charge: city power light billed 2x $77.86 on 2026-09-20
šŸ“ˆ price change: fitness first gym was $24.99/mo, now $29.99/mo (+20%)
āœ“ 0 false alarms across 1,110 data points Synthesized locally • Data never left your machine

Predictive Time-Series Studio

Multi-horizon walk-forward forecasting & seasonal outlier detection

SERIES:
Forecasting Engine
tabpfn-3.5
Holdout Error (WMAPE)
56.34%
Next 30-Day Sum
~1904.17
Planted Spikes
0
Historical Truth 30-Day Forecast Anomaly / Pipe Leak
Click legend items to toggle • Hover points for detailed metrics

Verified Detections & Planted Catches

Four planted demo storylines isolated with zero false positives

Zero Noise Flags
Stability Filter +20%

Gym Price Hike

Fitness First gym raised monthly fee in June from $24.99 to $29.99.

2026-06: $24.99 āž” $29.99
Duplicate Detector 2x Charge

Double Power Bill

City Power billed twice on the exact same date for the exact same amount.

2x $77.86 on 2026-09-20
Walk-Forward Screen +262%

3-Day Power Spike

Today vs median of 8 prior same weekdays. Flags exactly the 3 spike days.

57.70 vs 15.95 kWh (Sep 16)
Seasonal Screen +706%

Water Pipe Burst

Planted pipe leak in water.csv spiking to 425L on Oct 18 & 19.

425.0 vs 52.8 L (Oct 19)

Tortoise vs. Hare: Closed API vs. Open Foundation

Reproducible benchmark measured against GPT-4o-mini zero-shot prompting on the identical 30-day holdout window

TabPFN Beats GPT-4o-mini by ~3x
Attribute Hare (Closed Hosted API: GPT-4o-mini) Tortoise (Napper: TabPFN-3.5 Local)
Model Type Proprietary Cloud API (gpt-4o-mini) TabPFN-3.5 (Open-Weight Foundation Model)
Cost Per Run ~$0.0123 / run ($4.49 / yr) $0.00 (Zero runtime bill)
Data Privacy āŒ Bank CSV transmitted over public internet āœ… 100% Local (0 bytes transmitted)
Offline Capable āŒ Fails without active internet connection āœ… Works in airplane mode / air-gapped
Holdout Error (Daily Spend WMAPE) 165.45% (Prompted zero-shot token regression) 56.34% (3x better than GPT-4o-mini, 12x vs naive)
Monthly Spend WMAPE 4.85% 2.03%
Execution Latency ~3.42s (Network API round-trip) ~373s (Consumer AMD CPU "Slow & Steady")
Auditability & Portability āŒ Closed black box; vendor can deprecate āœ… Open weights, fully auditable & swappable

Sentry AI Agent Distributed Trace

End-to-end distributed telemetry monitoring offline agent tool calls with zero cloud fees

ai.cost: $0.00
ā–¶ [transaction] napper.overnight_run op: ai.agent
ā”œā”€ā”€ [span] ingest_inbox_csvs ai.tool.ingest • 0.02s
ā”œā”€ā”€ [span] detect_recurring & duplicates ai.tool.detectors • 0.05s
ā”œā”€ā”€ [span] tabpfn_3_5_forecast ai.model.tabpfn • TabPFNRegressor
ā”œā”€ā”€ [span] walk_forward_seasonal_screen ai.tool.anomaly_screen • 0.01s
└── [span] synthesize_morning_brief ai.chat_completions • template/gemma

Verified Local Datasets (1,110 Data Points)

Multi-domain real-world and synthetic time-series benchmarked offline

4 Seeded Datasets Active
bank.csv FINANCE
253 rows • 8.9 KB
13 months personal banking, recurring subscriptions & charges.
TabPFN: 2.03% View āž”
electricity.csv UTILITY
386 rows • 6.4 KB
Daily smart meter kWh readings with 3-day AC heatwave spike.
3-Day Spike View āž”
steps.csv FITNESS
386 rows • 6.4 KB
Daily step count with weekend/weekday periodicity (~8,000 steps).
0 Noise Flags View āž”
water.csv UTILITY
85 rows • 1.4 KB
Daily water consumption with catastrophic +706% pipe leak.
āš ļø Pipe Leak (+706%) Inspect āž”